Friday, 16 June 2017

USDJPY: What's Next

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ANALYSIS


The USDJPY (now at 111.36) has just started a new rally to the area 124.1-124.8.



A bit of History

The Historical Chart displays 5 waves downwards from the moment the USA unilaterally terminated the Bretton Woods Agreement in August 1971. See Also YouTube for more info.

Before WWII the USDJPY was two ¥ for one $. In 1948 the USDJPY rate was fixed at 360 ¥ for one $ and this rate was kept till 1972. From that moment on, the YEN slowly recovered to 75 ¥ for one $. It was Oct 31, 2011. 

ELLIOTT WAVES

Which type of Elliott Wave Pattern started off from 2011 onward? At present it looks like a huge a-b-c. See monthly chart and weekly chart.

The daily chart suggests that wave c will probably made out of 5 waves. Wave 1 and 2 (black, font 10) are in place and wave three is on its wave to 118.

The 4-hour chart shows the a-b-c- that made wave 2.

What are the possible targets for the USDJPY? The closest one is 124-125 but a long term Gann projection suggest that it could easily top at 160-180, let alone that the theoretical value is actually 217.




Historical chart. Click to enlarge






Monthly chart. Click to enlarge






Weekly chart. Click to enlarge






Daily chart. Click to enlarge






4-hour chart. Click to enlarge






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