Saturday, 12 October 2013

GOLD, perfect entry

Hi Traders,

Before getting into the analysis of GOLD let's check some news.

I'm running some free webinars and free seminars (see below). To register click the links below.

OCTOBER CALENDAR
  • Monday 28 October - Free Webinar (8-9pm, Sydney time). I don't have the link to this webinar yet. 
All this powerfully organised & hosted by the mighty City Index in Sydney.

MOST IMPORTANTLY
  • Monday Nov 11 and Tuesday Nov 12: ELLIOTT WAVE BOOTCAMP, (16 hours) in a venue to be confirmed soon.
At this BOOTCAMP you will be taken on a journey through the identification and practical use of Elliott Waves.

You will be able to:


  • recognise & label each wave properly
  • predict the direction of new trends
  • correctly identify the starting point of new trends
  • determine targets
  • identify Entry and Exit point in daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Your approach to trading will change foreverThis is an unmissable chance to get a true insight of Elliott Wave Trading. Hence, don't miss it!


If you want to be part of it call Richard Vatner +61(0)2 9270 3618 and mention "MDC" (Mario D. Conti) or leave a message. 


...

FINALLY,

I set up a trading account where I place the trades I suggest. I'll keep you posted.


...



THE ANALYSIS: GOLD, perfect entry




Hi Traders,

GOLD did exactly what I predicted on Oct 12 and completed an a-b-c retracement. It's  now supposed to start a new uptrend. This is confirmed by the 4 red candles in the daily chart, which is usually a reliable reversing pattern.

If this analysis is correct, the commodity may get to the area 1549-1561 and beyond.   

TARGETS

likely: area 1447-1462
possible: 1488
maybe: 1549-1561 

ELLIOTT WAVES

With the low around 1261 and a close around 1271-72, GOLD performed a 66% retracement of impulse wave 1 (daily chart). This retracement is displayed in the daily chart as wave 2.

FURTHERMORE:

In the 1-hour chart Gold is supposed to make another minor attempt to touch the low at 1261 or slightly lower as it didn't performed all 5 little ripples  downwards yet (in the 1-hour chart). This could happen at the opening or few hours after the opening.

Then a new significant uptrend - labelled "wave 3" (daily chart) - should take place.

NOTE:

If a temporary rise of the "debt ceiling" is agreed by the American Congress  but its NOT followed by a definitive agreement within Nov 22, The FED might be attempted to sell some gold'to pay the debts, with devastating effects on the commodity.

BTW: so far there's no "sign" of such an event in the charts.

HENCE: manage your stops and, overall, wait for a signal of the "wave oscillator" - in the 1-hour chart - before getting in.    
    

weekly chart - click to enlarge







daily chart - click to enlarge







wave oscillator over daily chart - click to enlarge







4-hour chart - click to enlarge







wave oscillator over 4-hour chart - click to enlarge






1-hour chart - click to enlarge






wave oscillator over 1-hour chart - click to enlarge

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